Fundamental Analysis of Bitcoin: Market Outlook for June 2025

Fundamental analysis of Bitcoin in June 2025, assessing supply, demand, and economic factors, suggests a cautious bullish trend.

Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, continues to capture investor attention in June 2025. A fundamental analysis of Bitcoin requires examining supply and demand, economic policies, institutional adoption, and technological developments. This article analyzes Bitcoin’s status based on market data as of this date. Bitcoin’s supply, capped at 21 million coins, remains a cornerstone of its value proposition. By June 2025, approximately 19.8 million coins are in circulation, with the 2024 halving event further reducing new supply. This scarcity, coupled with rising demand, could push prices higher. Demand is driven by factors such as institutional adoption and macroeconomic conditions. Institutional adoption has reached a turning point in 2025. The approval of Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. in 2024 has opened the door for traditional investors. Major companies like Tesla and financial institutions have increased their Bitcoin holdings, boosting its credibility. Additionally, the U.S. government’s announcement of a strategic cryptocurrency reserve in March 2025 has sent a positive signal, further driving demand. Economic policies play a significant role. With the U.S. money supply (M2) continuing to grow and a persistent budget deficit, investors are turning to Bitcoin as an inflation hedge. Loose monetary policies and a weakening dollar make Bitcoin an attractive store of value. However, potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve could exert short-term downward pressure on prices. Technologically, Bitcoin’s network remains robust, with the hash rate exceeding one zettahash per second, signaling miner confidence in long-term profitability. However, market volatility remains a risk. Current market data shows Bitcoin trading around $104,000, though RSI divergence suggests a possible short-term correction. Overall, Bitcoin’s outlook in June 2025 is cautiously bullish. While short-term risks like price corrections exist, strong fundamentals—limited supply, institutional adoption, and economic conditions—support long-term growth. Investors should conduct thorough research and manage risks carefully.